If you're struggling to protect your home budget in the midst of prices that seem to constantly rise, you're not alone. Americans are feeling the squeeze of high gas prices, and record-high diesel prices are, unfortunately, making the situation worse. On September 22, diesel averaged $6.53 per gallon, and since diesel prices affect the cost of everything from food to construction prices, it has widespread impacts on your wallet.
Here's why diesel costs are climbing and how you might feel the impact.
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Record-high diesel prices
Experts report that production and shipping disruptions caused by the Iran war and the Ukraine-Russia war have caused the price of diesel to surge. When Ukraine attacked Russia's production facilities, Russia banned diesel exports in July, an act that removed diesel supply from the already-strained international fuel market.
As a result, diesel prices have soared. According to AAA data, the average $6.53-per-gallon diesel cost on September 22 marks a 77% increase over costs from a year ago.
How diesel costs impact American transportation
Americans who drive a diesel vehicle obviously feel the impact of higher diesel prices, but diesel prices affect many more factors than the price that drivers pay at the pump.
Many public transit vehicles, like buses and trains, run on diesel, meaning public transportation costs may increase.
Those price increases might strain community budgets. For example, schools support large fleets of school buses, but as fuel prices climb, the money budgeted to cover fuel costs for the year may not be sufficient. Some districts may need to revise their budgets and allocate more money to fuel, and taxpayers might be asked to pay higher taxes to cover the gap.
How diesel costs impact shipping
Since many freight and delivery networks rely on diesel, transportation has quickly become more expensive. Some businesses are implementing added fees on online orders to cover the extra shipping costs, meaning consumers are bearing that financial burden. In April, Amazon implemented a temporary 3.5% fuel and logistics surcharge on some sellers.
Shoppers are also already seeing the effect of higher transportation costs in the grocery store. According to the Independent Grocers Alliance, fuel costs account for about 15% to 30% of the total cost of food. Since perishable foods have to be shipped frequently, diesel costs may put upward pressure on the cost of items like meat and produce. Produce items that are harvested by diesel-powered farm equipment may see price increases, too.
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How diesel costs impact heating
With winter approaching, diesel costs have many Americans who rely on oil heat concerned. Approximately 5 million households used oil as their primary heat source in 2023, and the majority of the households are located in the northeast. Because diesel and heating oil are effectively chemically identical, their prices historically tend to move together, meaning a surge in diesel prices should result in a surge in heating oil prices.
According to an analysis by the National Energy Assistance Directors Association, heating oil might cost 50% more this winter than last winter.
The proposal to ban diesel exports
Some Republicans are calling for a ban on diesel exports in an attempt to regulate diesel prices. Representative Tim Burchett of Tennessee introduced two bills on September 17, including one that would ban diesel exports through the end of December 2026. The second would implement an export ban if diesel prices reach a national average of $5 or more per gallon.
President Trump has also indicated that the administration is considering a diesel export ban, though no final decision regarding a potential ban has been made.
Why a diesel export ban might not help
According to energy experts, a diesel export ban misses the mark and may not help reduce prices. The U.S. domestic refineries produce more diesel than the country uses, prompting diesel exports. The real issue lies in the fact that global diesel market prices have surged because of the disruptions caused by the Iran war and the Ukraine-Russia war.
In fact, prohibiting diesel exports might increase the global shortage, a move that could cause prices to surge even higher. It's also possible that U.S. producers might cut their output in response to an export ban, which might drive prices up more.
Bottom line
The idea of banning diesel exports is a proposal, not a policy that's been implemented. Most Americans may feel the effects of diesel prices in the form of higher costs at the grocery store, and higher delivery prices. Those who depend on oil heat may also face significantly higher heating bills this winter.
Hopefully, relief from high diesel prices comes soon. Until then, carefully review any online purchases you make; prices may increase to make up for those higher shipping costs. Comparison shopping may help you save when buying online or heading to the grocery store, and you may want to build your shopping list around sales available. Shopping smart may help you navigate these prices and keep more of your money.
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